DAY WISE ANALYSIS AND VALIDATION OF MEDIUM RANGE WEATHER FORECAST FOR NAVSARI REGION UNDER SOUTH GUJARAT

NEERAJ KUMAR¹, M.J. ZINZALA²*, H.H. PATEL³, T.U. PATEL⁴, D.D. PATEL⁵, G.G. RADADIA^6
1Department of Agronomy, College of Agriculture, Bharuch, 392 012, Navsari Agricultural University, Navsari, 396 450, Gujarat, India
²Department of Agronomy, College of Agriculture, Bharuch, 392 012, Navsari Agricultural University, Navsari, 396 450, Gujarat, India
³Department of Agronomy, College of Agriculture, Bharuch, 392 012, Navsari Agricultural University, Navsari, 396 450, Gujarat, India
⁴Department of Agronomy, College of Agriculture, Bharuch, 392 012, Navsari Agricultural University, Navsari, 396 450, Gujarat, India
⁵Department of Agronomy, College of Agriculture, Bharuch, 392 012, Navsari Agricultural University, Navsari, 396 450, Gujarat, India
⁶Department of Entomology, N. M. College of Agriculture, Navsari Agricultural University, Navsari, 396 450, Gujarat, India
* Corresponding Author : zinzalamanish99@gmail.com

Received : 01-02-2020     Accepted : 13-02-2020     Published : 15-02-2020
Volume : 12     Issue : 3       Pages : 9519 - 9524
Int J Agr Sci 12.3 (2020):9519-9524

Keywords : Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), Ratio Score, H. K. Score, Correct and usability percentage
Academic Editor : Horo Aniketa
Conflict of Interest : None declared
Acknowledgements/Funding : Authors are thankful to India Meteorological Department, New Delhi for support this research. Authors are also thankful to Department of Agronomy, College of Agriculture, Bharuch, 392 012, Navsari Agricultural University, Navsari, 396 450, Gujarat, India
Author Contribution : All authors equally contributed

The present study the day wise analysis of rainfall, wind speed, maximum and minimum temperature forecast and usability percentage of weather parameters have been done for monsoon, post monsoon, winter and summer season of Navsari region during the year 2011-12-2015-16. Highest rainfall forecast of Ratio Score (RS) of Navsari region was observed during post monsoon season was 100 (Day-2) during the year 2013-14 and south west monsoon was recorded 87.5 (day-1) during 2013-14. The increase accuracy was observed for rainfall in case of day-1 and day-2 then after decline in south west monsoon season as well as post monsoon was same result find.

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